Chapter 3

IN BONDAGE TO MASS KILLING
from

Our Captive Culture
and the Bio-Social Forces that Will Free Us

by
Bruce Stewart
Copyright ©2005 by John A. Stewart

Readers should read the Forward and Chapter 1 before this chapter.

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For several centuries nations of the world have been dominated by preparation for and resort to organized conflict on a massive scale to protect or advance their interests--resistant to any alternative.  They are in that sense captives to military operations and mass killing.  Like other nations, the U.S. has always lived with a perceived military threat, developing a potent agency to meet--and sometimes make it.  Has this always been characteristic of the human species?

Although the earliest humans undoubtedly fought among themselves, it was not until the neolithic revolution that organized groups formed and could indulge in what we think of as war.  From that time forward, violent conflict has been part of our history.  The scale of fighting has increased until world wars occurred in the 20th century.  Accompanying this process, the destructiveness of weapons has scaled upwards until atomic bombs and missiles climaxed the story

The explanation for this universal phenomenon is relatively simple, and the basics are all we are concerned about at this point, to account for its prevalence and long life.  There can scarcely be any doubt that organized, violent conflict between nations and lesser groups has persisted because it has always been perceived as a possible method of satisfying basic human drives or at least as a means of protecting them from greater frustration--which comes to the same result.  This elementary conclusion has been shared by anthropologists, sociologists, psychologists and even physicists, as we shall see.

An enormous volume of prose has been expended on the subject of war...hundreds of books and thousands of papers on the subject, by philosophers, clerics, and various kinds of scientists, with at best the slightest effect.  Appeals to logic, ethics, morals, commonsense and facts—even when these are sound--have not changed this behavior pattern very much.  The question of why (not) leads to unpleasant conclusions necessarily reflecting on the human species, in an inglorious fashion. A recent book that confirms our captivation to mass-killing is BLOOD RITES by Ehrenreich.  Its main concepts may be summarized as follows:

¨ The going theories on this subject are numerous and conflicting. They do not correspond well with history.

¨ Social scientists avoid dealing with the macroscopic phase and address the limited, specialized features.

¨ War is primarily an emotional phenomenon, as illustrated in her many cases of “bloodiness”.

¨ War is a social “meme” which has been deeply embedded in the culture.

¨ Moral principles and appeals have made little difference in society’s response to wars, by leaders or people.

¨ The war problem is so complex that it is not susceptible to elemental analysis.  She quotes Tolstoy’s argument that the deeper we search for causes the less we can be confident of our conclusions.

    The first 5 generalizations are sound. Ehrenreich’s inadequate concept of natural laws or processes of science interferes with perceiving a relatively simple theory, used here to explain our elementary, operational failures and counterproductivity relative to mass killing (regularly unaddressed).  What does Ehrenreich propose as an escape from the sanguinary syndrome?  “The passions we bring to war can be brought just as well to the struggle against war.  There is a place for courage and solidarity and self sacrifice other than in the service of this bloody institution...and we need all the courage we can muster.”   Unfortunately a call for courage is of the same nature (and defect) as the traditional calls for morality.  The genotypic question remains: What does it take to actually enforce the change in operational terms?  Tolstoy in effect declared that dependable knowledge about war is impossible. This is not a constructive/scientific response.

There has been insufficient attention to the application of bio-social theory and natural law on the subject.  However no matter how voluminous the accumulation of information, and the depth of intensive studies, we can never pick our way through the critical problems, to see where we have been and will be going without discriminating the guiding forces to which we must ultimately conform and adapt. The aim of this chapter is to confront the social forces behind this phenomenon that can explain more consistently why we are bound to violent conflict on a massive scale, whereby we can anticipate the circumstances under which it is more likely to subside. 

We come then to the other common misconception--that successful analysis requires sophisticated and complex scientific theory, as well as massive empirical support.  At present we do not conform to the most elementary concepts on this subject, which itself must be explained. This chapter addresses the violent conflict associated with conventional warfare.  The subject of nuclear conflict and its various dangers constitutes a special case and will be analyzed in the chapter to follow.  It provides some indications of how and why some progress has already been made in controlling the (nuclear) threat.  We can begin with some analyses made by various social sciences in the past and their shortcomings.

Inadequacies of Ethology Start End ToC Bib Discuss

Some ethologists, such as Lorenz, maintain that humans, like the lower animals are programmed with an inexorable instinct of aggression. The best we can do, he says is to re-direct or sublimate it into more constructive forms of behavior, for example sports-- which is only cultural learning.  It is helpful for present purposes to distinguish between aggression and violent conflict.  The latter would be regarded as a manifestation of the former, however the only one with which we are here concerned.

Eibesfeldt, Lorenz's pupil, is not clear as to what degree aggression is immutable.  In one place he asserts, "The aggressive drive can atrophy if not discharged.”  In another place, he concludes that the aggressive drive is inevitable.  True instincts do not disappear if unexpressed.  Eibesfeldt would do well to try that with hunger, thirst or sex, in order to have a better appreciation.  Eibesfeldt cites Davis to the effect that there are many observations that prove that aggression is genetic, but he provides none of these.  Ardrey claims to  offer evidence which supports Lorenz "quite clearly" but none of it is repeated.  Every human case that Eibesfeldt  employs is susceptible to an explanation which rests primarily on learned reactions.  (Humans are, of course encoded with behavioral forces, but we learn (or are conditioned) to satisfy them in various ways, some constructive, some destructive.)

Eibesfeldt admits (p. 328) it is possible that aggression "can be greatly influenced" but not "completely learned".  We might consider some cases that prove otherwise.  Mead studied two tribes racially the same, which live 30 miles apart in New Guinea. One illustrates extreme aggressiveness (Mundugumor) and the other was extremely pacifistic, (Arapesh).  There can be no reasonable appeal to genetic differences here.  The ! Kung tribe of Africa shifted from a nomadic hunter-gatherer way of life to a sedentary farm existence.  The children's behavior then became quite aggressive.  This was more apparent in the adults also.  Here we have a shift within the lifetime of a single group. The Tasaday of Mindanao in the Philippines, a totally isolated Stone Age tribe, were reported by Nance to have never had disputes, have little disagreement "and cannot even think of anything that is not good". The Hunzukuts of the Himalayan Mountains were formerly feared widely as savage warriors.  Now they live so peacefully there is no police, no crime and few disputes. Here we have a change in the same people within recorded history, according to Shor. Another community that is wholly cooperative and conflict-free is Ladakh, studied for years by Norberg-Hodge.

Lorenz and Eibesfeldt respond to this after a fashion.  They refer to the Eskimos and the Zuni Indians, often cited as completely non-aggressive people.  They say the allegedly non-aggressive Eskimos do indulge in "singing duels" to beat each other out and the allegedly non-aggressive Zuni do have "aggressive initiation rites" even though they will not compete with each other in any ordinary way.  Lorenz carries this line of thought one step further and argues that people are being aggressive when they make music, art, or even indulge in humor.  Even if we agree to call this aggression, it has been blown up to the point of virtual irrelevancy, certainly as any serious threat to individuals, culture or species--which is the concern here.

The ethological fallacy is assuming humans are identical or nearly identical with the lower animals they study.  This claim is based on genes governing the behavior of all creatures.  Fish, for example, have a strong genetically based instinct of aggression.  What happens to these genes in evolution?  Human ancestors of 300 million years ago almost certainly did have a rigid, genetically based instinct of aggression like the fishes of today.  Doubtless this instinct had survival value for them (as Lorenz and Darwin maintain).  What happened to these genes as evolution approached the human level, we don't know in detail, but almost certainly the same kind of change occurred to the genes for gills and a big tail, which our ancestors had, but we no longer possess.

Wilson goes so far as to argue (IN SOCIOBIOLOGY) that "murder" is more common among the vertebrate animals than among humans, even when the loss of life from our organized wars is averaged in. Although this killing must be conceded, none of these vertebrates purposely engage in the organized, systematic extermination of each other on a giant scale like our World War II or in some strictly ethnicidal massacres.  He makes no reference to the revolution wrought by nuclear war, but he does recognize that "the learning rules of violence are largely obsolete".  Wilson does not cosider the psychological and social forces compelling a change.  The phenomenon of modern war and its fate is our concern here.  Wilson is inclined to exaggerate the role of genes and underestimate the effect of culture and learning.  He contends (1) that we are programmed to react to external threats with hostility and sufficient violence to insure safety, and (2) that such threats are usually associated with strangers and we are genetically disposed to react to strangers with aggression.

These two propositions are challenged by elementary facts and logic.  People may react to threats in several ways.  They may run away.  They may fight.  They may passively submit.  Which they do depends on their perception of the situation--their past experience, their learning, their cultural conditioning. There is no rigid, automatic response of fighting dictated by the genes.  Wilson responds that the modern sophisticated view is to realize that learning and reasoning are themselves governed by genes.  That is true, but conceding it leaves us with nothing very informative or offering much guidance.  Running ability is determined by heredity, but the more important questions are where, when and why we run, and these are not illuminated simply by an appeal to genes.  Likewise what we learn and why are questions that require careful analysis of factors other than genes.  We have gone to war with English, Germans, Spanish and even ourselves, not because of strangeness, but because "the other side" was regarded as posing too great a threat to our own basic needs, as we perceived it (and them).  Reward and penalty have often been associated with what is called nationalism, our own group versus the “aliens”- a potent motive. (See Chap. 5)

Wilson is correct in stating that "human behavior rests on a genetic foundation", adding that it is organized by some genes which are shared with close relatives and others that are unique to Homo sapiens.  Actually both the internal and external are factors, varying in influence according to different cases, but both playing a vital role in creating our wills and choices.  We are encoded with the ability to perceive some consequences of behavior and be guided by these, but with difficulty, as Lorenz recognized--a little too well: "Unfortunately I consider the collective stupidity of mankind, which is somehow incapable of learning from truly negative experiences and turn them into good--very great indeed”. In actuality, when pressed hard enough by the costs of established but inadequate responses, we can slowly adapt, and have done so, as will be seen.

There is a danger in over-emphasizing the impact of cultures, particularly to be found among some sociologists and anthropologists, for example White or Sumner.  Andreski hypothesized that war was essential to the development of government among humans, so too with industry, democracy and the arts. Skinner criticized the belief that it is just a matter of "ridding ourselves" of the aggressive instinct by participating in sports etc.  He contended that we are aggressive only because of and to the extent that we have been so conditioned. Two responses to this are in order:  (1) The prior reference is to individual behavior not to organized conflict, and (2) We do inherit a mechanism studied by Cannon which when triggered results in violent action, on the individual level.  There is yet another anthropological interpretation, tying genes to evolution, by Bigelow, who concludes that ancient war killed off the more stupid individuals, resulting in a fast mental evolution.  Without arguing about its ancient function where it may or may not have had a beneficial effect on the human species, we must agree that modern total war kills off the intelligent as readily as the stupid.  Bombs make no distinction between the I.Q.s of those standing nearby.

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The military operations are always cloaked with rationalized and moralized principles, whether sound or unsound. When it comes time to stop or to avoid such conflicts, the same appeal is seen as the best hope and chief reason for any success, which is or might be achieved.  Unfortunately for this interpretation, the injunctions against killing go back almost to the dawn of history, and certainly to the beginning of religious history, repeated at regular intervals.  The religions themselves have sometimes been the stimulus for costly conflicts, as reviewed in some detail by Haught in his book HOLY HORRORS.

Some examples will illustrate the normative interpretation of the war problem and the logical response to it.  Waltz declared: “Reinhold Niehbur has written as many words of wisdom on problems of international politics as have any of the academic specialists.”  There are repeated references to Niebuhrian analysis--the evilness in man, the appeal to love, God and morality.  A typical statement reveals Niehbur's orientation:  "Only a forgiving love is adequate to heal the animosities between nations.” The US-USSR nuclear animosity of the cold war almost disappeared, without any great manifestation of forgiving love.  (We shall shortly examine the real dynamics of this change.)

Not long ago, Brzezinski, addressing the dilemma of foreign relations OUT OF CONTROL, declared "The need for an enhanced moral consciousness.”  As for its source, he said: "Moral guidance must come from within.”  Representing religion, Dr. J.C. Johnson said, expectedly, that behind the economic and psychological forces, "are the moral standards which men adapt.”  The author then opined that "religion offers to men the only final solution to problems.” The values and practices we adopt are largely a product of cultural conditioning, modified by individual differences.  Scientific analysis does not anticipate "final" solutions, only somewhat higher probabilities. Religion has obviously been much delayed in its “final solution”.

Even social scientists may be drawn into moralism.  For example Margaret Mead and Clyde Kluckhohn proclaimed that the greatest need in controlling warfare is "agreement on a set of principles of world morality.”  Presumably such a rational and ethical decision would exert primary and almost irresistible pressure, but nothing is said about the critical questions of how such an agreement would be reached or why, nor the way in which biosocial forces can explain any "world morality" much more consistently.

Kant addressed the subject of war in his essay PERPETUAL PEACE--a strange combination of normative and scientific thought.  He agreed that morality cannot provide the necessary motivation for lasting peace.  He then called on the laws of nature, which he thought are made for moral ends--"Nature's own purpose-the empire of right.” A better knowledge of nature would show that there is nothing ordained to be “good and right” about it.  Kant was alleged to conclude: "Morals is a practical science, the sum of laws, exacting unconditional obedience, in accordance with which we ought to act.” Only a minor change would delete the superfluous part involving moral ought and purpose.  Simply substitute a statement recognizing the costs or damaging consequences (to human drives) of failing to adapt our behavior in harmony with bio-social processes, and the rewarding consequences of so doing.  Kant could not see that the moral-ought-purpose syndrome is adscititious and readily replaceable with a superior understanding, however slowly.

If there is one good test of the relation between mass killing and ethical-moral principles, it would be the treatment of women and children during armed conflict.  There have been protocols, formal or informal against attacking this non-military population.  (Soldiers fight soldiers, not the innocents).  How ineffective that has been for general populations is on record in present day cases such as Rwanda, Somalia, Sudan, Afghanistan, Bosnia.

The United Nations reported an extensive study of "The Impact of World Conflict on Children”. This included not only the ones that are killed but their regimentation into the killing field as participants, which makes them accept this way of life, thus helping to perpetuate and extend it.  Violent conflict has always made victims of noncombatants, but a new development has occurred.  The proportion of civilian victims has multiplied (The UN report says 9 times) "Children have become not only targets, but combatants and perpetuators of violence and atrocity.”

We say little about bombing by the major powers in World War II (for example the destruction of Dresden and Hamburg reported by Irving). These resulted in as many or more deaths than Japanese atomic bombings.  The latter were justified as necessary for stopping arms factories or defeating Japan quickly.  All of which leads to the question of responsibility.  We have seen that science directs attention away from judgments and toward the social costs of procedures, in this case costs to the nations of eliminating a sizeable fraction of the next generation, also of producing one that is conditioned toward violence and destruction. Responsibility in science equates to the ability to distinguish a response that is drive-fulfilling for those concerned from its opposite; this is for all those who may relate to us influentially in time or distance, either short or long term.

As another illustration of the interference of normative thought with scientific analysis we may consider the classic work by Quincy Wright, THE STUDY OF WAR.  After all his imposing details assembled on this subject, he concludes: "We must choose the direction in which we want to go.  This cannot be discovered by science of analysis.  It is an act of faith.” Behavioral science uses a tested theory to explain why we chose, or what we probably will choose among alternatives and what the consequences were (or are likely to be).  There is of course, as alleged by Wright, always a "point behind which science cannot go" on any problem at any particular time, but no other intellectual enterprise can be more successful, whatever the task.  Wright’s appeal to "an act of faith" could lead anywhere, and offers no (testable) kind of guidance.  He refers to behavioral science only for the purpose of emphasizing its obstacles and dependence on outside, incommensurable factors.

Finally it is a little surprising to find Bertrand Russell analyzing the war problem in a non-scientific way.  He could dispense with the concept of human will in explaining our behavior on this subject, but he retreated to an unsound conclusion: "It is rather through impulse than through will that the individual lives and the life of the community can derive the strength of direction.”  He advocated that we "preach the kind of change required”.  The effects of acting on impulse alone have demonstrated a lack of effective guidance and a pronounced tendency to get us into trouble.  We would expect Russell to recognize that rationality plays a role--even if it is not one of undeflected leadership.  As we have already observed, it is incompatible with the nature of science to indulge in "preaching.”

We must look to more realistic forces for explanation of national behavior on the subject of violent conflict and its control...a conclusion admitted by the Director of the Harvard University Program on Nonviolent Sanctions, Gene Sharp. He conceded: "Both moral injunctions against violence and exhortations of love and nonviolence have made little or no contribution to ending war.” Therefore attention must be focused on what actually did bring about the cessation of the cold war and other ongoing threats. Agreement on this point may also be found among sociologists. We have J.S. Coleman’s presidential address to the American Sociological Society in which he observed that “Moral values which compel persons to attend to another’s well being are weak forces unless reinforced by self interest.” Yes, weak, but not absent and not without some effect. We have previously noted that even Kant deprecates the role of reason-derived will.

As for real-life causes and cases of the failure and inconsistency described above, any number could be used to display the enormous gap between expressed moral-ethical-religious principles and actual behavior. There is no space or need for any catalog of these, but we may take one that is current and illustrative. Robert Block, writing in The  New York Review of Books, reported on his visit to Bosnia, entitled "The Madness of General  Mladic". Mladic was the military leader of the Bosnian Serbs, responsible for the massacre of about 4,000 Muslims. Mladic justified this by his fear of "Islamization".  One witness of the event (at Potocari) said he (Mladic) could barely contain his delight at the prospect.  "There'll be blood up to your knees”, he said.  Away from the killing fields, Mladic would issue statements about how opposed he was to war and weapons proliferation.  Block began his account by reporting a packed church attended by Mladic.  When the general left the church, "He was mobbed by adoring fans.  Old women cried and tried to hug him.  Babies were held up for him to touch...“He is God” one well-dressed middle- aged woman told me... He is our savior.”  People who regard a mass murderer as God, support all-out war and "ethnic cleansing" share the "madness" and are far indeed from surpassing military control.  The civil war in Yugoslavia reportedly rested on a long smoldering ethnic conflict, fanned into flame by hate-propaganda on both sides, but especially by the Serbian "cleansers"...a Christian people.

There is little understanding of science in the preceding interpretations. From a scientific point of view, a hypothesis which failed regularly to correspond with the facts (in this case the facts of behavior) would have been replaced long ago by one that did.  We must understand why people act as they do, in terms of tested theory, before we can start talking about why and how they are going to change.  Preaching at them (a la Bertrand Russell) has never been very effective, certainly not about violent conflict.  Wars have continued to be massively destructive of life even when the contestants both claimed conformity to religion, even the same religion.

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The elements of a bio-social theory have been outlined earlier.  We can now apply them more particularly to violent conflict.  Sociobiology has made a start toward scientific analysis of war and killing.  It shows that the basis for this conflict in animals and humans has undergone an evolution.  Wilson (in HUMAN NATURE) provides cases showing a transition from the vertebrates, to primitive humans to modern man.  The conflict is at first over food, territories and mates, so Wilson invokes the gene-controlled struggle for survival and the process of natural selection.

He cites the Mundurucu head hunters of Brazil who systematically kill members of other tribes because a head confers high status and invests religious spirits of the forest on its possessor.  However it is emphasized that game is very scarce and hunting territories overlap and this strong competition for food probably furnishes the real motivation for killing.  Another South American tribe, the Yanomamo of Venezuela conduct wars over women, or to avenge the deaths that trace back to competition over women.  Finally the Maori of New Zealand waged almost constant warfare over territory, but always against those tribes to whom they were least related.  When the white men introduced guns, the competing tribes took them up, with escalating death, but Wilson observes that by this time, the violence had become self-limiting and the tribes began to question the importance and value of revenge and uncontrolled conflict.

As we move from animals to modern humans we observe the reduction of war motives such as food, mates and territory, but the increase in self or ego inflating motives such as status and power.  There are also the factors of ethnicity and religion that may appear, as well as fulfillment of the social need, which comes from a common vital enterprise. Certainly modern man does experience satisfaction of organic drives in the form of property and money, which may result from successful conflict.  The motivating forces have become more numerous and complex.

We are genetically endowed with some basic drives characteristic of our species, which will function, one way or another.  Culture and experience, as well as some individual differences determine the particular way in which these processes will be fulfilled and satisfied-- by violent conflict under appropriate circumstances.  Our nervous system has inherited the capability of conceiving and learning this great variety of mechanisms or canalizations.  It also creates the possibility for people to change perceptions, thus leading to changes in culture--however slowly.  Modern war has persisted because people perceived it as offering the possibility of satisfying, their basic processes, or the equivalent, of protecting these from probable frustration.

 Acknowledging that war has been rewarding to us is not a pleasant thought, but occasionally social scientists will acknowledge it.  The anthropologist Ruth Benedict admitted, "It is a commonplace that men like war.”  She did not say why.  The sociologist Bernard enumerated some of the satisfactions war has provided. The psychiatrist Erich Fromm may not have been aware that he was supporting the idea (because he does not anywhere follow out its logical consequences) when he made this statement:  "The influence of any doctrine or idea depends on the extent to which it appeals to the psychic needs.” War is an institution that has appealed to many "psychic" needs.  The physicist Freeman Dyson observed, "The public is in love with war" and then went on to describe how he was caught up in it.

In the last world war, workers who got high paying jobs in government war plants and elsewhere (at least as compared with their experience in the previous depression) were having their "psychic needs" fulfilled.  Industrialists whose business, profits and plants were booming--likewise.  It could even be argued that some men who fought in the war found satisfactions that are often unappreciated--excitement, cameraderie, accomplishment (but often death).  Decades after World War II, the old movies are in demand, replaying the battles and glories--even in Japan, a defeated nation!  Brave men were lost, to be sure, but this is an accepted part of the venture, and they were in the minority.

A question arises about the losing side.  Should not its reaction be different?  Almost everyone is aware of the history of Germany as a model in this situation. A defeat, or even two does not necessarily change the perception of war as a possible satisfying procedure, at least immediately and so long as we think we only need to "do a better job of it".  The alternative of not fighting has always seemed more intolerable.  In this way, military action has been deeply conditioned into us.  We are in a real sense its captives

In America there has been a long cultural conditioning in which people have experienced organized conflict as more a benefit than a cost.  The Viet Nam experience put something of a damper on that, but the rewards of the Persian Gulf victory restored military policies and practitioners back to the highest level, where they rest at the moment.  This explains the fact that in a time of heavy budget cutting, military appropriations remained firm.  This does not presage serious disarmament and preparation for peace.  The priorities will have to be shifted.  (It does explain why military leaders are at the top of the social respect scale in the U. S.)

The Power Illusion Start End ToC Bib Discuss

It was accepted that our guarantee of peace was building the most and best armaments.  Coupled with that belief has been the conviction that, as the world's super-power we can use our arms to police and neutralize those countries which represent too much of a threat.  Recent events show these beliefs are increasingly illusory such as Viet Nam and Korea.  The people are becoming increasingly uneasy about foreign involvements.

Former Secretary of Defense, Schlesinger straddled the fence.  Referring to "world wide military equilibrium" he said, "The burden of responsibility has fallen on the U.S. to carry it.”  In another place, "The Crisis of Confidence" he declared "We cannot be the permanent guarantor of stability in a world of turbulence.” The nation is still schizophrenic on this subject for reasons already discussed.  If some other nation, say Russia or China, said they had the necessity of maintaining world military equilibrium we would loudly protest--if we questioned their concept of military equilibrium, which we surely would.

A "peace dividend" was anticipated when we started arms reduction after the cold war was over, but the Pentagon and the defense industries were gearing up to recover this because they feared any reduction of their own business, as well as the nation's status in the world.  One striking example of this pressure was provided when reporter and columnist Richard Reeves asked then-Secretary of Defense Cheney what the Department’s mission would be in five years, if he had his way.  Cheney answered with these six points:

1.      A dominant strategic and tactical nuclear force

2.      Military alliances around the world

3.      Forward deployment of U. S. troops to guarantee those alliances without Japanese rearmament or German military expansion.

4.      Control of the seas

5.      Capability to project force anywhere Americans are threatened, and

6.      Maintenance of our defense related industrial base. 

The sweeping nature of this plan (not excluding readiness for nuclear conflict) led Reeves to ask if the U. S. would then be "the world's policeman".  Cheney replied "That phrase has had a bad connotation since the Viet Nam war, but its not inappropriate.  We don't want to tell other people how to run their business, but we'll let them know we're there.”  The policeman role is needed in the world, but any one nation cannot fill it without making troubles.  There is now a definite power vacuum of law enforcement.  A strong UN is unwanted, and collective action is weak-to-nonexistent, as in Rwanda and the Balkans.

A later case of nationalistic militarism was provided by the ECONOMIST.  It recognized repeated "revolutions" in the nature of warfare.  The one currently under way was seen as information technology.  The U.S. was the only nation in process of mastering it, not because of any present threat, but because "generals want to play with the new technologies to meet future threats.  This new revolution is built on getting, processing and acting on intelligence”. It was contended that there are increasingly strong incentives to "fire first" with the new weapons and the U.S. wants to be there first with the most.

Admiral Owens declared, "We'll be in a far better position to shape the world rather than react to it, than at any time since World War II" The conclusion was: "The new revolution will greatly expand American power in the years ahead.”  Here we have a re-statement of the putative role of super policeman "shaping the world" which Reeves elicited from Secretary Cheney, plus the idea that war was coming.  The motivation behind the U.S role as world policeman was revealed by the Defense Planning Guidance (from the Pentagon), which appeared in the New York Times (1992).  It contended that the U.S. must continue to dominate the international system. The aim, as stated by Schwarz in the Atlantic Monthly was to "Discourage advanced industrial nations from challenging our leadership, or even aspiring to a larger regional or global role.” 

It must not only be able to control "nuisances like Iraq and North Korea, but it must also protect Germany's and Japan's access to middle eastern oil, otherwise these advanced countries would have to develop their own military forces of global power”.  Schwarz concludes:  "No wonder the U.S. must spend more on its ‘national security' than (all of our potential enemies) combined.” He went on to predict (correctly) the strategic defense plan to "expand NATO eastward" NATO was and still is conceived as a military organization.  The average amount, estimated by the Pentagon, that the NATO expansion would cost the U.S. during the next decade was 1.75 billion.  The Congressional Budget Office estimated it would be 11.8 billion, as reported by Morin. The new NATO nations were expected to spend 10 billion dollars on fighter jets, in preparation-- for what?

The militarists bow regularly to the icon of national security and assure the public that their role alone makes this possible.  Ronald Reagan could declare himself against arms races at the very moment he was carrying out the biggest buildup of weapons in peacetime history.  He said:  "We must find ways to reverse the vicious cycle of threat and response which drives arms races.” His threat, or response (whichever) was an integral part of the race.  Each nation sees all other additions as a threat, no matter what the opponent calls it.

There is another element of national security, often unrecognized.  A congressional study identified a major force necessitating arms control and the elimination of unlimited conflict:  "National security requires a stable economy with assured supplies of material for industry...  Security means more than safety from hostile attack.  It includes the preservation of a system of civilization.”  Let us consider two statements on the subject by two presidents, first Dwight Eisenhower:  "The problem in defense is how far you can go without destroying from within what you are trying to defend from without”. Now Reagan, an admirer of Eisenhower: "Strategies which depend on unrealistic or unachievable assumptions about resource availability are doomed to failure... This means that the administration and our military leaders cannot and must not base their plans on resources that are beyond the nation's ability to provide.”

 Nearly everyone agrees, but true meaning only enters when we pass rhetoric and get down to operations.  Reagan demonstrated that his record spending was not excessive, as judged by the public, since about 2/3 of the people agreed that we have to be pre-eminent in military power--while also calling for reductions in defense spending.  The military expenditures (for 1993) by the U.S. almost equaled the total spent by all other major nations, including Russia. A statement by the Pentagon revealed its military motivation:  "U.S. forces will be structured to achieve decisive victory in two nearly simultaneous major regional conflicts.” If two, why not three?  Or if help from NATO or the Security Council is to be considered, why not call for this on the very first occasion?

We can better understand developments, like the U.S.  News describing the "spending binge" in which military research and development increased from 14.6 billion in 1980 to 41.7 billion in 1988.  Fifty new weapons systems were going into production, presaging what it called " a tidal wave of deficits"...and a related cost was drain on talent.  A Congressional Budget Office study provided percentages of various scientists employed by the Defense Department.  The military got 30% of the mathematicians and 25% of the physicists.  Considering the top engineers (those with PhDs) then 70% were working for defense.

J.R. Munro, chairman of Time Inc. said, “We now spend 45 billion a year on military research.  That’s 75% of the money the government allocates to all R & D for cancer, diabetes, birth defects, optics and electronics and high speed computers.  In Japan the ratio is reversed.  The Japanese spend 2% of their funds on military research.”  (Since that time the numbers have changed, but not the ratio) This is all in the name of security but there is another element of national security equal to or perhaps greater importance.  A congressional study identified a major force, which is necessitating arms control and elimination of all-out conflicts, namely economic costs: "National security requires a stable economy with assured supplies of materials for industry.  Security means more than safety from hostile attack.  It includes the preservation of a system of civilization.” Polls show that the public favored reduced defense spending during the 80s, with majorities fluctuating between 57 and 66%, which might represent ideals but operationally there was little protest to robust military budgets for succeeding years, which the Pentagon treated as a heavy but necessary diet.

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In spite of the fact that the Russian threat had about disappeared, the administration, congress and the Defense Department have extended plans for spending a quarter of a trillion dollars per year over the next five years.  When dealing with billions, hundreds of billions, most minds are boggled by and incapable of grasping them.  One observer tried to bring this down to common experience by imagining silver dollars stacked up--one billion on top of each other.  How high would the pile be?  It turns out that that the stack would 1,000 miles high.  A trillion would go to the moon four times.

In an effort to bring defense spending "down to earth" in the same way, the Center for Defense Information, among others, described what modern weapons cost in terms of various social needs, for example one B-2 bomber (two billion dollars) translates into 424 elementary schools for a quarter of a million students.  One F-117 fighter would fund 4,200 policemen to help cities fight crime, etc.  Is the technique effective in changing priorities or in making a noticeable difference in expenditures?  Judged in operational terms-- whether it has reduced the military budget, the answer must be No, because "things go along about as usual.” Until the costs become personally manifest, in school crises and tax squeeze to maintain defense, little change is to be expected.  We seldom appreciate the total business value of perpetually re-arming America.

  The corporations involved are dealing with what Time called “the largest single market in the world.”   An editorial in The New York Times described the relationship in this way; "The largest centrally managed economy in the world, outside the Soviet Union, is run by the U.S. Defense Department.  Hating the discipline of free markets, the Pentagon bureaucracy insulates its contractors from competition.  They in turn lobby congress to keep paying the bills, and the service continues to buy gold plated weapons, no matter what the plane costs or how badly it performs.”

 Kennedy in THE RISE AND FALL OF THE GREAT POWERS observed that "Today's armament industry is becoming increasingly divergent from commercial, free market manufacturing".  They enjoy a special relationship with their own Department of Defense, protected from the marketplace.  Many books have been written describing this business, for example by Fox, Melman, Thayer and Duscha.  This is not capitalism but a form of state socialism, never labeled as such.  Keynes pointed out how business men "are apt to reach a preference for wholly wasteful forms of loan expenditures because they don't have to be judged on strict business principles.” The arms business is about as wasteful economically as it is possible to be (everyone hopes the product will never be used).

From time to time, it will be revealed that profits on defense contracts are far above those on private consumption products, averaging 35% during the 1980s.  Ex- Senator Proxmire proposed legislation that would require the O. M. B to keep records of defense profits.  This was opposed (by McDonnel-Douglas and Lockheed) as being "bureaucratic". Without this data the legal counsel of the Senate Joint Economic Committee concluded that congress would be in a "blind position.”  It is fascinating that making most of their profits from dealing with government bureaus is not bureaucratic, but having the government publish the relevant data IS bureaucratic. 

A common and related counterclaim is that its contracts maximize jobs and employment, therefore even though these may be military in nature there are non-military spin-offs.  The actual facts came back from the Employment Research Associates, where it was found that military spending COSTS jobs as compared with private, non-military business.  They recorded the number of jobs per billion dollars spent for  military (25,000, transit (30,000), housing (36,000), education (4l,000) and health care (47,000).

As to international military expenditures, Adams reported that according to the U. S. Arms Control and Disarmament Agency, world-wide sales of weapons first broke the trillion dollar barrier in 1987.  Our share of this business has been rising sharply ever since and is justified by profit, by helping the trade deficit and by political expediency.  The U.S. government did its part, contributing 477 million dollars for promotional activities on the part of its arms dealers.

It may be claimed that recent progress has been made, which has not been acknowledged here.  A report by the United Nations Development Program summarized the ongoing relation between world development and the military.  Since World War II over 20 million people have been killed in civil and regional conflicts.  Denzer who reviewed the report (in U.S. News) said world arms expenditures "have dropped by almost 1 trillion dollars between 1987 and 1994 chiefly because the U. S. and the USSR "have drastically cut defense outlays, but global military spending still totals 7 trillion dollars per year.”  It is not possible in reason to credit the U.S. with truly significant reductions when it is spending a quarter trillion dollars every year on the military--as analyzed by The Center for Defense Information’s Defense Monitor, l998. These facts are not promising.

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In America there has been a long cultural conditioning in which people have experienced organized conflict as more a benefit than a cost, with few exceptions, such as Viet Nam.  This explains the fact that in a time of alleged heavy budget cutting the military appropriations remain rather steady.  Before significant change occurs, priorities will have to shift.  The question then arises as to what will cause, or is causing to any degree the nations to control production and use of armaments.  Significant steps have been taken on the cold war and nuclear threat

It is readily apparent that over-investment in the military could be counter-productive, but how much would be required to meet that qualification is uncertain.  There is an economic-ecological factor that is often ignored.  Lester Brown asserted that threats in the future will "arise less from relations of nation to nation and more from the relation of men to nature.”  It must be added that relations between nations will be increasingly influenced by the ecological requirements faced by all.  Isaac Asimov foresaw the not too distant future when "Even a non-nuclear war cannot be fought because it is too energy rich a phenomenon... We are going to have to use all our energy to stay alive, with none to spare for warfare.” Barry Commoner added:  "To make peace with the planet, we must make peace among the people who live on it.” Unfortunately, and as usual, we require some severe stimuli for motivation. 

What will cause us to stop polluting, destroying, wasting and arming our world for profit with bloated military budgets?  The motivation must come from consequences severe enough to "get our attention". As long as military operations are perceived as glorious, as long as it appears "profitable" to ignore the ecological debt and the economic deficits appear to be postponable, and as long as investors, both national and international continue transfusing our economy, the established tradition will be pursued and our present priorities will continue.

Pressures to change may be expected not only from environmental deterioration and economic stringencies but the rising costs of ethnic conflicts, not just in money but in human suffering and protest.  To the degree that violent conflicts interfere with trade and business activity--or seriously threaten to do so--there will be motivation to prevent and control these.  It is of interest that Imanuel Kant in his essay PERPETUAL PEACE foresaw this as a restraining or limiting factor. He said, “The commercial spirit cannot co-exist with war, and sooner or later it takes possession of every nation, for of all the forces which lie at the command of a state, the power of money is probably the most reliable.”

What can we predict about the future of terrorism and guerrilla warfare?  Guerrilla conflict seems assured of continuation and even some growth, as other forms of violent conflict become too expensive.  As for terrorism, Hanle claims it is the NEWEST FACE OF WAR.  He defined and subdivided both terms, thus identifying certain forms of terrorism as war.  To qualify it must have a political purpose, and lethal force if involved must be on both sides--a requirement which would seem to declassify it as war because most terrorism is one-sided. Kupperman says terrorism has low firepower but high leverage; also that it is a low cost, low risk form of conflict, used mostly by small groups and small, fanatical countries. It would seem safe to conclude that terrorism will expand wherever it produces the desired result, but it can at best only be accessory to military operations.

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We previously noted that Schwarz's prediction on the expansion of NATO was confirmed.  Cultures have habits that resist change--in this case military beliefs and practices.  The NATO was formed as a military alliance against the USSR.  When the USSR collapsed as a military peril, the NATO was left without its traditional justification.  There was pressure, internal and external, to find another motivation.  This ambivalence was exemplified by two analyses in the NATO Review, one by a general (Kehoe), that first called for a military "joint task force, which will embed the capability of a command structure.”  The following analysis by a Dutch scholar of international relations stressed the need for attention to refugee and economic crises, including cooperation with Russia. The NATO is apparently changing into a peace- keeping organization.

The proposal appeared for Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic to join NATO.  This was approved, with the announced opposition of Russia, which received no invitation.  The American people when polled said Russia should be a member, when it "stabilized" and met the usual qualifications.  The Russian leader, Lebed, responded to these developments as follows:  "The cold war is over.  They won...so why have you decided to reopen the competition?..as reported by the Defense Monitor.

The persistence of the military function as a top priority was demonstrated in the expected/required arms expenditures by the three new nations.  The costs to Poland alone were estimated to run into the billions of dollars.  The Czechs announced plans to buy 30 advanced fighter planes, such as the F-16 Falcons costing 21 million dollars each, when its entire budget for the military in 1997 was 816 million, only a small part of which was for new procurements.  Even the Dutch commentator emphasized that none of the NATO nations should be free riders", i.e. those failing to hold up their end of the military modernization.  If those nations under the Warsaw Pact had expressed the intention of "modernizing their arsenals" we would have reacted as negatively as Russia did to this project.

Efforts are constantly being made at reducing systematic killing at all social levels between individuals, communities, ethnic groups and nations.  These do make some contribution to its reduction.  Unfortunately a very long period of "lighting candles against the darkness" is required.  At present the putative benefits in  southern Africa, Israel, Kashmir, Afghanistan et al are as yet to be confirmed.  In the meantime more pervasive bio-social forces determine the outcomes, as will be seen in the following chapter on the nuclear phase of mass killing where they have enforced a social change of world significance.

REFERENCES

CHAPTER 3

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